Intensifying Rhetorical Battle Between Ethiopian Government and Eritrea Triggers Anxieties of Armed Clash

Growing apprehensions exist about the possibility of armed conflict between East African neighbors, the Ethiopian government and Eritrea, as confrontational discourse has escalated in the past few weeks.

Ethiopia-Eritrea border
Ethiopia and Eritrea cooperated in the armed struggle in northern Ethiopia but they have later become estranged.

What Did Ethiopian Officials Declared?

Landlocked Ethiopia's calls for access to the sea coast through Eritrea has sparked a heated rhetorical conflict.

Ethiopian Prime Minister initially stated publicly in last year that his government's maritime access was an vital issue, comments that Eritrean authorities rejected.

Relations between the two countries have regularly been difficult. Following a decades-long battle for independence, Eritrea, which has a extensive sea border, legally broke away from Ethiopia in 1993, rendering it without sea access.

Five years later, a territorial conflict started in which numerous people died.

Recent Remarks from Ethiopia's Officials

Prime Minister Abiy and army chief General Birhanu Jula have publicly asserted ownership of Eritrea's southern port of the port of Assab – some 60 km from the boundary - and suggested the intention to capture it through military means.

In early September, the Prime Minister said the country's "mistake" of losing entry to the sea as a because of Eritrea secession would be "corrected soon".

Ethiopia's ambassador to neighboring Kenya, retired Gen Bacha Debele, said that Assab was "Ethiopian property" and would be given back "using武力".

Eritrea's Answer to the Claims

Despite continuous warnings from Ethiopian officials, Eritrea's reaction has been restricted to concise remarks on online platforms from Communications Head Yemane G..

Officials have denied Ethiopia's push for access to the Red Sea labeling it "risky" and a "toxic agenda" of "territorial claims" – a strategy of claiming back former lands.

Government spokespeople cautioned on 16 September that moves to validate "flagrant aggression" would have serious consequences for the Ethiopian government and its regional partners and is a "redline that should not be crossed|violated|breached".

Military Activities on the Region

There have been few indications of significant troop deployments in the frontier regions between the two countries.

Nonetheless, in the country, national TV has broadcast completion events of numerous trainees at multiple army bases.

The director of personnel division of the military, the officer, commented lately in an conversation that the army was in a "strong stance" as "tens of thousands of young people" were entering service, which he said was "a warning to our adversaries".

Historical Origins of the Conflict

For more than half a century from 1890, Eritrea was governed by Italian rulers.

Following World War II, it was then controlled by the UK forces before evolving into a integrated region of the Ethiopian empire.

But in 1962 the Ethiopian emperor cancelled this agreement and Eritrea became fully incorporated into the Ethiopian state.

A thirty-year internal conflict followed, ending with Ethiopia's defeat in the early 1990s. Independence was then approved by Eritreans in a plebiscite in 1993.

For a few years in the 1990s, there were good relations between the authorities in Ethiopia's capital and Eritrea's capital, but they clashed over the exact location of their mutual frontier, causing war in 1998.

Although this finished in a peace deal in 2000, it was incompletely executed, and the neighbors stayed at odds.

This changed in 2018, when Abiy made gestures to Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki. The both leaders agreed to a declaration that the hostilities was finished – a decision that earned Abiy the Nobel Peace Prize.

The two governments were then cooperators in the country's previous armed struggle in the northern region.

However ties have later worsened once more.

Audrey Kim
Audrey Kim

A professional sports analyst and casino reviewer with over a decade of experience in the gambling industry, specializing in data-driven betting strategies.